Preparation is advised for potential dangers akin to a war between Israel and Iran, according to a warning issued by Turkey's intelligence academy.
The National Intelligence Academy (MIA) has published a comprehensive report titled "The 12-Day War and Lessons for Turkey," analyzing the conflict between Israel and Iran that took place in June 2025. The report provides valuable insights and strategic lessons for Turkey, particularly in the areas of air defense and civil defense.
According to the MIA report, the 12-Day War served as a striking example of new generation wars creating deep effects in a short time. If a new war were to break out on the Israel-Iran line, it could be more violent than previous wars, the report predicts. To prepare for such a scenario, the report recommends several key actions for Turkey.
The report emphasizes the need for Turkey to modernize its air defense systems, focusing on the coverage of critical urban and strategic centers. This modernization effort would likely involve investments in advanced radars, missile interceptors, and command-and-control networks.
In addition to upgrading air defense systems, the MIA report also recommends strengthening civil defense readiness. This includes improving emergency response and civilian protection measures against missile and aerial threats. The report underscores the importance of developing comparable civil defense capabilities, particularly for major cities, to protect citizens from potential harm.
Another crucial recommendation from the MIA report is the enhancement of the protection of Turkey's indigenous defense production capabilities. The report notes that the defense industry has become a priority target for foreign intelligence services. To secure supply chains and innovation capacity in defense technologies, it is essential to safeguard Turkey's defense industry from sabotage, espionage, and cyber threats.
The report also stresses the importance of preparing for integrated threat scenarios based on lessons learned from short but intense regional conflicts like the 12-Day War. This preparation would help Turkey address vulnerabilities in its existing air defense and civil protection ecosystems.
The MIA report also highlights the role of modern war technologies, especially air elements, in changing the course of war. Critical personnel training, early warning systems, and digital protection measures will be determining factors in possible future wars, as per the report's evaluation section.
Regional turbulence in Iran could lead to mass migration towards Turkey, interruptions in energy supply, and border security risks, the report states. The report also notes Israel's difficulty in blocking hypersonic missiles, despite all its technological superiority, "shows that Turkey must also prepare for similar threats."
The MIA was inaugurated by National Intelligence Organization (MIT) head Ibrahim Kalin on Jan. 6, 2024. The report's evaluation section underscores that the modern battlefield is not only about kinetic conflicts, and that the impact of the cyber and electromagnetic dimension on conflict results is becoming increasingly decisive.
In conclusion, the MIA report provides valuable insights and strategic recommendations for Turkey. The report underscores the necessity for a robust and modernized air defense system to deter and defend against contemporary threats. It also emphasizes the importance of safeguarding Turkey's defense industry to maintain strategic autonomy and resilience amid regional conflicts. Additionally, the report stresses the need for comprehensive civil defense enhancements to protect citizens and critical infrastructure from potential harm.
- The escalating tension between Iran and Israel serves as a warning for Turkey, particularly in regards to their air defense and civil defense systems, as highlighted in the MIA report titled "The 12-Day War and Lessons for Turkey."
- In light of potential future wars along the Israel-Iran line, Turkey should prioritize the modernization of its air defense systems, focusing on protecting critical urban and strategic centers through advanced radars, missile interceptors, and command-and-control networks.
- To further bolster defense capabilities, Turkey should strengthen its civil defense readiness, improving emergency response and civilian protection measures against missile and aerial threats, with a focus on major cities.
- The MIA report underscores the importance of safeguarding Turkey's defense industry from sabotage, espionage, and cyber threats, given the rising targeting of defenses industries by foreign intelligence services.
- As regional conflicts unfold, such as the 12-Day War, Turkey must prepare for integrated threat scenarios, addressing vulnerabilities in air defense and civil protection ecosystems while prioritizing early warning systems, digital protection measures, and critical personnel training.
